With the turn of the year very low volatility was again present on financial markets in the past week. Towards the end of the week, the killing at the direct order of US President Trump of a prominent Iranian general increased nervousness. Crude oil price reacted by 3 % increase. For the whole week the global stock index MSCI All Country World remained on the previous week level. On the contrary fixed-income performed very well as the global index gained 0.5 %. Global financial markets has had a great year in 2019 when almost all major assets thrived. However valuations rose strongly and that is why returns will be probably much weaker in 2020. Hence optimism from the end of the year shall be tempered.
|
Weekly change |
YTD change |
Value at the week end |
Dollar index DXY |
-0.1 % |
0.5 % |
96.84 |
Emerging markets FX index to USD |
0.1 % |
-0.3 % |
1660 |
EUR/USD |
-0.1 % |
-0.5 % |
1.12 |
EUR/CZK |
-0.6 % |
-0.2 % |
25.36 |
USD/CZK |
-0.5 % |
0.6 % |
22.75 |
Global equities (MSCI All Country World) |
0.0 % |
0.3 % |
|
US (S&P 500) |
-0.2 % |
0.1 % |
3235 |
Europe (STOXX Europe 600) |
-0.3 % |
0.6 % |
|
Japan (Nikkei) |
-0.8 % |
0.0 % |
|
Emerging markets (MSCI Emerging Markets) |
0.5 % |
0.8 % |
|
China (CSI 300) |
3.1 % |
1.2 % |
|
Czech Republic (PX) |
0.2 % |
0.5 % |
1121 |
Global bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond) |
0.5 % |
0.3 % |
|
Global government bonds |
0.7 % |
0.5 % |
|
Global investment grade corporate bonds |
0.4 % |
0.4 % |
|
Global speculative grade corporate bonds (high-yield) |
0.2 % |
0.1 % |
|
Average global bond yield |
-0.04 % |
-0.05 % |
1.40 % |
US 10 year government bond yield |
-0.09 % |
-0.13 % |
1.79 % |
Germany 10 year government bond yield |
-0.02 % |
-0.09 % |
-0.28 % |
Czech Republic 10 year government bond yield |
0.01 % |
-0.02 % |
1.62 % |
Slovakia 10 year government bond yield |
-0.03 % |
-0.06 % |
0.13 % |
Brent crude oil |
0.6 % |
3.9 % |
68.6 |
Gold |
2.3 % |
1.9 % |
1552 |
Source: Bloomberg
Michal Stupavský
investment strategist of CONSEQ